Saturday, 6 August 2011

Two worst teams meet in derby

Pick from Lithuanian football A league, derby in  port town Klaipeda.
Klaipeda had strong team Atlantas for years, but in last 3-5 years they are struggling - no money, no decent players, no supporters. Misunderstandings between madman Lekevicius (director of Atlantas) and city's football society led to new club foundation - FC Klaipeda. They started with high hopes to become one of the top clubs in Lithuania, but straight away were put in place. Their vision and hopes were nice only on paper. Nobody wanted to give money to such club and they are struggling a lot. So now Klaipeda city have to useless teams instead of one...

06/08/2011 FC Klaipeda - Atlantas
FC Klaipeda (11th), 2-2-15, goals 14:41, 8 points
Last six games - 6 loses, goals scored 2, conceided 8.
Defence is pretty good, they played with some favorites of the league like Zalgiris, Ekranas and lost only 0-1. 
In summer break they only managed to bring some youngsters from local football team, who most likely are playing for free. Nothing new and encouraging.

Atlantas (12th), 2-1-16, 9:65, 7 points
Last six games - 6 loses, goals scored 0, conceided 24!!!
After summer break they lost last two matches 0-2 and 0-3 and in both games received red card. Stunning team! I have nothing else to add.

Why I'm going for under 2.5 in this game?
Basically, I expect a lot of fighting (yes, even this is just football match) as both teams are not capable of scoring at all. I would bet on Klaipeda win if odds would be around 2, but the best I can find is only 1.75, so it's not worth.
Unders are priced with generous 2.10 and in my opinion are worth taking, because all goals in previous games mostly were scored by their opponents.

7 units - under 2.5@2.10 bet365

Good luck!


EDIT: FT FC Klaipeda 0-4 Atlantas.
Pick is lost (-7 units).
By far my worst pick on the blog. How team who hadn't scored for ages managed to score 4 goals in 48 minutes is beyond me. Something is very tricky here...

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