Monday, 1 August 2011

Goals won't be flying in Borisov

As I promised I'll have one or two bets from European Cups and first is up for you, Champions League match in Belarus.

02/08/2011 BATE - Ekranas
First leg between Belarus and Lithuanian champions finished as scoreless draw, even Ekranas played last 30 minutes with ten men. Belarus team were better, but couldn't score against defensive lithuanians.
I agree, that on paper Belarus team are favorites, but offer with odds of 1.20 on home win are absolute joke.
Belarus team in previous round with difficulty passed through Linfield 1-1 and 2-0 (both goals were scored in second half in time of 5 minutes).
Linfield is hardly stronger team than Ekranas.
BATE played their Belarus championship match on Friday and rested most of the first team players.

Ekranas are very defensive team, they managed to keep clean sheet in last 10(!!!) games in a row in local league and 2 games in Champions League. No doubt, most of Lithuanian teams are much weaker than Ekranas, but still those numbers says a lot about Ekranas defenders - Dedura, Samusiovas, Joksas - all of them have bags of experience, they played for national team, they played for strong russian clubs and important games are nothing new to them.
And of course after goalless match in first leg, they are coming to defend and play on counterattacks. Lonely striker Velicka is not in greatest form and goals are coming hard for him.
I can't understand why overs/unders are set at 3 goals. And I think this is a mistake, and will try to cash in.

8 units - under 3@1.79 pinnacle

Good luck!

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