Sunday, 10 July 2011

My betting strategy

Right...
Some my previews will be longer, some of them shorter. But I would like to tell you, that every pick I will publish here, I will put my money on. So every pick is considered with caution and attention to details - team news, form, play style, home and away form, injuries and etc. I won't be betting on the teams that I never heard of. I won't have any fixed matches. I bet only on teams and leagues I closely follow. Because I bet and expect to win, not to waste my money.
My main markets are asian handicap and overs/unders.
Generally you will see me putting 5-8 units from 10 on each bet. You very rarely see me betting 9 or 10 units, because 10 is a banker. And do we have bankers in sport? The answer is NO.
Some of you may ask, what is unit? Ok, let's start from beggining...

Every punter has his bank, which is put aside and is used only for betting. This is not your rent or mortgage money, not money for your gas or petrol. This is your betting bank.
Let's say punter can afford to put in his betting bank 500 or 1000 pounds/euros/whatever your currency is. On each bet punter should not put more than 5 percents of his bank. So in worst scenario he wouldn't throw away all his money in streak of 5-10 unlucky bets. And bad streaks happen even to best punters, so be disciplined and don't put half of your bank on single bet, however you are sure about it, cause surprises in sport are common thing.
So if your bank is 1000 pounds/euros, your 1 unit should be about 5 pounds/euros, 2 units - 10 pounds/euros and so on. Of course, you can equal 1 unit to 1 pound. It's up to you and your financial situation.
By the end of the day, it's only a chance to add some extra cash for your holidays, take out your missis for lovely meal, buy yourself nice pair of trainers or away trip to football following your team. You not gonna make millions, just have some better interests than offered in bank and buzz following football games on tv or refreshing livescore.com:)

I start my new betting year every July - when new Eurocups season begins. After 12 months I expect to have 100-150 units profit. 200 - would be great! Not enough? I bet, 98 percents of punters will take that offer any minute, because only 2 (yes, TWO) percent of punters are finishing year in green (profit). Rest of them usually are losing money.
So, let's not be greedy and be on green side.
Of course you have to take into consideration long term strategy - some months will be better, some worse. You can make 100 unit profit in one month, but that not means you will repeat next month.
I will update my stats by the end of each month, but the final score will be settled in the end of next June.

Usually I will post 5-7 picks per week and they will be on the blog not later than 1 hour before kick of.
Good luck!

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