Thursday, 28 July 2011

Bookies must be mad

This game will be played on Saturday, but I have to take it now. Looks like bwin are going mad giving such odds.

30/07/2011 FK Mazeikiai - FC Klaipeda
This is game between two teams from the bottom of Lithuanian football league.

FK Mazeikiai (8th), 5-8-5, goals 20-21, 23 points
Hosts released 6 players and their main striker Zigalov, who scored 8 goals and is second on league goalscorers list. A week ago they played useless Atlantas, who conceided 22 goals in last 5 games and scored nil. And Mazeikiai only managed to beat them 2-0 at home.
Overal they have 6 overs and 12 unders, from last 6 games - 4 unders and 2 overs.

FC Klaipeda (10th), 2-2-14, goals 14-41, 8 points
I wrote in previous post about them a week ago, when they played against Kaunas. I watched the game and expected game to finish as unders, but early goal, huge mistake from goalkeeper on waterflooded pitch and own goal from nowhere by Kaunas defender led to 2-1 score.
All I can say, this team can not score, you can see from total of 14 goals in 18 matches, but on second half of the season at least they started to defend better and in last 6 games they had 4 unders and 2 overs.

Two teams with scoring problems will meet on Saturday and I expect defenders to come on top against strikers. Especially when I saw the odds on unders, I can not leave this bet. Of course you never know how the game will flow, but I see big value in backing under 2.5@2.95!
Bwin also are giving under 3.5@1.8
bet365 under 2.5@2.50

8 units - under 2.5@2.95 bwin

Good luck!

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