Goals!

Finally national championships are back and I'm back with new colours on the blog. I hope winning picks will follow changes on the blog.

It's always difficult to know how teams will react after two weeks break, but I think today we'll see some goals in Lithuanian league. Match starts 16.30 UK time.

14/10/2011 Banga - Dainava

Banga had high hopes before the season and with a good coach I expected them to be in top 6. So far they are 8th, but difference from 5th are only 6 points. And at home they should try to grab 3 points.

Last 5 games were very difficult for Banga. Only 1 point and 1 goal scored. But opposition were all top 5 teams in the league, fighting for the European Cups spots, so you can't look just at statistics.

Dainava are joint 3-4th scoring team in the league with 49 goals, but also conceded 45, which is only 4th from the bottom. 

59% of all their games finished as overs. Last 4 games from 5 - also overs.

Dainava was surprise package of the season. They are 5th at the moment, higher than anyone expected before season. Today they meet Banga, another midtable team, and Dainava will have no fear and should play their open game once more.

Mutual matches this season were won by visitors 4-2 and 2-1.

Odds on overs are falling down from 1.8 to 1.6 at bet365, but you can get 1.81 at betsafe or 1.75 at bwin, which is still good value in my opinion.

Small bet on over 2.5 is my choice today.

5 units - over 2.5@1.81 betsafe

Good luck!


EDIT: FT Banga 3-1 Dainava. Pick is won (+4.05 units)